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Foresight

A calibrated forecasting board for Gen. Mike Flynn · Board Chair. Set a probability, log what would change your mind, and when a question resolves, a Brier score tells you how well your judgment tracked reality.

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Will the strategic partnership be signed before the 80th Anniversary Summit?70% yes
Update estimate
% yes

How my mind changed

  1. 70% yes
    Opening estimate · 2026-06-18 17:35Z

    Term sheet is circulating and both principals are engaged.

Calibration log

calibration.log
$ foresight history --q cmr0xg4210000mtjuzzqtnr9e
question: Will the strategic partnership be signed before the 80th Anniversary Summit?
 
[2026-06-18 17:35Z]  estimate=70%  (opening)
    rationale: Term sheet is circulating and both principals are engaged.
 
status: OPEN — not yet scored